Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 71046.993515 75134.144748 79226.623073 83628.846393 88227.277886 92885.840211 97959.004709
2025-03-09 64362.594317 70612.827949 77053.730145 84177.471636 91825.919168 99781.290397 108671.677942
2025-03-16 58996.259085 66650.079771 74719.111716 83840.088633 93843.341599 104460.071321 116559.394778
2025-03-23 55911.309599 64715.080108 74172.106588 85053.586319 97194.460954 110289.833166 125448.077211
2025-03-30 53161.612003 62862.484639 73456.168206 85835.603471 99854.524600 115186.792159 133171.411454
2025-04-06 50430.944574 60814.425957 72325.325104 85966.693851 101622.779924 118959.480620 139536.843801
2025-04-13 47939.521337 58873.415797 71164.452455 85919.669421 103062.617038 122261.270390 145293.305413
2025-04-20 46483.069562 58030.180915 71173.892232 87135.722147 105883.137784 127089.028093 152769.062862
2025-04-27 45161.704248 57259.527414 71192.719486 88296.478430 108588.931789 131755.066356 160052.514743
2025-05-04 43650.711597 56180.179967 70775.211980 88877.932806 110564.139778 135539.878119 166299.141539
2025-05-11 41970.683605 54817.595827 69949.231859 88907.419353 111831.774240 138457.905714 171509.027300
2025-05-18 40511.314145 53660.301497 69312.316621 89110.731035 113263.513976 141540.776708 176901.611757
2025-05-25 39035.280099 52443.501695 68574.754207 89175.537986 114529.521873 144448.888684 182137.653657
2025-06-01 38213.558254 52013.548900 68778.924412 90377.472262 117173.288887 149021.644193 189406.052611
2025-06-08 36759.438584 50725.394029 67866.936155 90152.580387 118032.239196 151415.955984 194036.945682
2025-06-15 36119.633741 50452.139378 68203.437660 91467.993808 120785.777082 156120.233635 201500.578305
2025-06-22 35302.535425 49914.913973 68177.166525 92303.530122 122928.524466 160076.144785 208065.410735
2025-06-29 34223.340138 48995.157692 67627.631621 92443.864890 124176.497128 162917.746679 213261.539957
2025-07-06 33120.685196 48006.285824 66954.477229 92394.263216 125159.673612 165416.452608 218031.745105
2025-07-13 32645.831225 47836.540090 67329.022621 93684.033898 127842.721070 170043.918145 225477.127016
2025-07-20 32172.464546 47649.345277 67665.676979 94914.927406 130449.545163 174586.443111 232843.391431
2025-07-27 31473.635590 47130.909083 67544.927363 95531.444617 132256.704649 178122.347034 238959.725150
2025-08-03 30575.336718 46310.108642 66996.881068 95562.708511 133289.279691 180669.040581 243830.654928